This past week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the Federal Reserve's dovish position as he testified on Capitol Hill, thereby paving the way for the first Fed rate cut in 10 years later... »
Read More of the post A Slow News Week Ahead

“It's like watching paint dry.” That was this past week as financial markets around the globe traded in a bit of a calm, sideways pattern ahead of arguably the most important economic event of... »
Read More of the post Calm Before the G20 Storm

What a difference a month makes. In May, stocks fell sharply, and interest rates declined each week. June has been a different story. The Fed has signaled rate cuts are likely coming. Stocks... »
Read More of the post Rate Decline Stalls

"Sell in May and go away" — an old Wall Street investment strategy which suggests not owning stocks during the Summer months. That investment strategy certainly worked this past May as stocks declined each... »
Read More of the post Interest Rate Disconnect

The biggest story in the financial markets and around the globe is the ongoing US/China trade negotiations. At the moment, there is no resolution and it appears there will be no resolution for at least several... »
Read More of the post Trade With China Causes Uncertainty

The Census Bureau recently reported a homeownership rate of 64.2% in the first quarter of 2019, up from the 10-year low of 63.7% in the first quarter of 2015. A recent study by LendingTree... »
Read More of the post Americans Favor Owning

"Transitory" — defined as non-permanent or lasting a very short time — is the word Fed Chairman Jerome Powell used this week at the Fed Meeting to describe the current low inflation environment,... »
Read More of the post Is Low Inflation Finally “Transitory”?

Good news is typically bad news for bonds and home loan rates. That has not been the trend of late, and certainly not this past week. Durable Goods Orders is a report which shows... »
Read More of the post The US Economy Remains “Durable”

The economic data coming out of the US this week showed that not only is a recession highly unlikely anytime soon, but the economy is actually reaccelerating from the slowdown seen last Fall. Back... »
Read More of the post Fed Sparks Economic Reacceleration

Initial Jobless Claims is a weekly report that tracks how many people have filed for unemployment benefits. It is both a solid gauge on the state of the labor market and economy, and... »
Read More of the post Let the Good Times Roll

"It's getting better all the time" (The Beatles) That is the best way to describe the current home loan rate environment. This past week we saw mortgage rates experience their largest one-week decline... »
Read More of the post Yield Curve Inversion Explained

The monetary authority of the United States, the Federal Reserve, meets 8 times a year to discuss the economy and adjust monetary policy to promote maximum employment and maintain price stability (inflation). The Fed,... »
Read More of the post Thank You, Mr. Powell

Volatility has disappeared in the financial markets and a sense of calm and complacency has emerged. Why? Well, thanks to the Fed, and to reduced threat of inflation and higher rates, both stocks... »
Read More of the post Word of the Day: Complacency

“It's a small world after all.” If inflation moves lower — or is expected to move lower — rates must go lower as well. That's the situation right now. The financial markets and interest... »
Read More of the post Disinflation Washes Up On Our Shores

This past week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported the U.S. economy, as defined by Gross Domestic Product (GDP), grew at a 2.6% rate in the fourth quarter of 2018. Economists and... »
Read More of the post U.S. Economy Showing Solid Growth

"All we need is just a little patience…" (Guns N' Roses) The highlight of this past week was the Fed Minutes from the January Fed meeting. The minutes are a detailed record of... »
Read More of the post Patience is a Virtue

Presidents Day is a time to honor our past presidents. We look to Abraham Lincoln’s quote as it resonates with our mission as a company. Simply put: do as best as you can,... »
Read More of the post “Whatever you are, be a good one.”

"Only got twenty dollars in my pocket…" (Macklemore & Ryan Lewis) The financial markets are sensing that the predicted government shutdown and protracted trade war with China will be averted. This is good news... »
Read More of the post Canary in the Coal Mine

Bad news is good news for the U.S. bond market and rates. This past week, bad news by way of worse-than-expected economic numbers in Europe cast a dark shadow on the financial markets.... »
Read More of the post Issues in Europe Affect Our Markets

The Fed met this past week. As expected, they didn’t hike rates and the Fed Statement was very “dovish,” suggesting that rate hikes will be off the table for most, if not all,... »
Read More of the post Rates Improve on Mixed Economic News