“It’s gonna be a bright sun-shiny day.” (Johnny Nash) The sun was shining on new home sales in May, as they reached their highest level since November.

New Home SalesSales of new homes rose 6.7 percent from April to an annual rate of 689,000, the Commerce Department reported. However, April’s sales figure was revised lower to 646,000 from the original reading of 662,000. From May 2017 to May 2018, sales surged 14.1 percent. There was a 5.2-month supply of new homes for sale on the market, just below the 6 months that is considered normal.

The final reading on Gross Domestic Product for the first quarter of 2018 came in at 2.0 percent, below the second reading of 2.2 percent. GDP is the monetary value of all finished goods and services produced within our borders in a specific time. It is considered the broadest measure of economic activity. GDP readings between 2.5 to 3.0 percent are considered healthy, so the final reading for the first quarter was a disappointment. However, many forecasters are expecting a stronger GDP reading for the second quarter.

The inflation-measuring Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, both ticked up 0.2 percent from April to May, in line with expectations. However, on an annual basis Core PCE ticked up to 2.0 percent, after rising 1.8 percent annually in April. The bottom line for inflation is that it reduces the value of fixed investments like mortgage bonds. Home loan rates are tied to mortgage bonds, so rising inflation can also cause rates to move higher.

For now, home loan rates remain attractive historically.

Fireworks could continue Friday once the June Jobs Report is released.

  • Manufacturing news via the ISM Index will be released on Monday.
  • On Thursday, the ADP National Employment Report, weekly Initial Jobless Claims and the ISM Services Index will be delivered.
  • Also on Thursday, the minutes from the June FOMC meeting will be released.
  • On Friday, look for the closely-watched Jobs Report for June, which includes Non-Farm Payrolls, the Unemployment Rate and Hourly Earnings.

If you or someone you know is wondering about home loan products or rates, please reach out. I’d be happy to help.

Related Articles

The biggest story in the financial markets and around the globe is the ongoing US/China trade negotiations. At the moment, there is no resolution and it appears there will be no resolution for at least several weeks as the US and China are not expected to talk again until the G-20 Summit…
Read More of the post Trade With China Causes Uncertainty

The Census Bureau recently reported a homeownership rate of 64.2% in the first quarter of 2019, up from the 10-year low of 63.7% in the first quarter of 2015. A recent study by LendingTree shows that 67% of homeowners surveyed aged 22 and older believe that owning a home is…
Read More of the post Americans Favor Owning

"Transitory" — defined as non-permanent or lasting a very short time — is the word Fed Chairman Jerome Powell used this week at the Fed Meeting to describe the current low inflation environment, meaning that inflation will likely pickup from this “temporary” low level. The problem? Inflation has been relatively…
Read More of the post Is Low Inflation Finally “Transitory”?

Good news is typically bad news for bonds and home loan rates. That has not been the trend of late, and certainly not this past week. Durable Goods Orders is a report which shows buying demand for products with a life cycle beyond 4 years — think cars, washing machines…
Read More of the post The US Economy Remains “Durable”