“Risin’ up to the challenge.” (Survivor) Home sales may have increased in March, but low inventory remained a challenge for many would-be buyers.

March existing home sales rose 1.1 percent from February to an annual rate of 5.60 million units, the National Association of REALTORS® reported. However, sales were down 1.2 percent from March 2017 due in part to continued low inventories and affordability issues. March saw just a 3.6-month supply of existing homes for sale on the market, well below the 6-month level that is considered healthy.

Inventory of new homes for sale on the market fared better in March, with a 5.2-month supply of homes available. March new home sales rose 4 percent from February to an annual rate of 694,000, a four-month high, per the Commerce Department. Sales also were up 8.8 percent from March 2017. However, there were considerable differences in sales around the country. In the Northeast, sales plunged 54.8 percent, while sales in the West soared to their highest level since December 2006, up 28.3 percent.

Home prices also continued to rise, as the February S&P/Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index showed that home prices rose 6.8 percent from February 2017.

Finally, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that economic growth in the first quarter of 2018 slipped from the final three months of 2017, though the number did beat estimates. The first reading on first-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) showed a gain of 2.3 percent, down from the 2.9 percent recorded in the previous quarter, but above the 2.1 percent expected. GDP is the monetary value of finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. It is considered the broadest measure of economic activity.

Mortgage bonds bounced higher in recent days after declining over the last few weeks. Home loan rates remain historically attractive.

This week’s calendar is bookended by the Fed’s favorite inflation measure and the Jobs Report for April.

  • Monday brings inflation news via Personal Consumption Expenditures, along with Personal Income, Personal Spending and Pending Home Sales.
  • On Tuesday, look for manufacturing news from the ISM Index. The ISM Services Index follows on Thursday.
  • Wednesday brings the first of two key labor market reports with the ADP National Employment Report. Plus, the Fed’s two-day meeting concludes and the Monetary Policy Statement will be released.
  • Weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Productivity will be delivered on Thursday.
  • The Jobs Report for April will be released on Friday, which includes Non-Farm Payrolls, the Unemployment Rate and Hourly Earnings.

If you or someone you know has any questions about rates or home loans, please get in touch. I’d be happy to help.

Related Articles

The biggest story in the financial markets and around the globe is the ongoing US/China trade negotiations. At the moment, there is no resolution and it appears there will be no resolution for at least several weeks as the US and China are not expected to talk again until the G-20 Summit…
Read More of the post Trade With China Causes Uncertainty

The Census Bureau recently reported a homeownership rate of 64.2% in the first quarter of 2019, up from the 10-year low of 63.7% in the first quarter of 2015. A recent study by LendingTree shows that 67% of homeowners surveyed aged 22 and older believe that owning a home is…
Read More of the post Americans Favor Owning

"Transitory" — defined as non-permanent or lasting a very short time — is the word Fed Chairman Jerome Powell used this week at the Fed Meeting to describe the current low inflation environment, meaning that inflation will likely pickup from this “temporary” low level. The problem? Inflation has been relatively…
Read More of the post Is Low Inflation Finally “Transitory”?

Good news is typically bad news for bonds and home loan rates. That has not been the trend of late, and certainly not this past week. Durable Goods Orders is a report which shows buying demand for products with a life cycle beyond 4 years — think cars, washing machines…
Read More of the post The US Economy Remains “Durable”